The Buffalo Bills are going to try to bounce back from an upset loss in Miami when they host the high-scoring Baltimore Ravens on Sunday. The Ravens are 15-3-1 ATS in their last nineteen games as a home underdog and have won the past five meetings in Baltimore.
The Bills were favored by four points in Miami last week, but they opened the same price range for their trip to Baltimore on Sunday.In the Ravens last 7 games as home underdogs where they were given a field goal or more, they have covered 6 times and won four of those games.
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Even though Buffalo has an impressive 7-2 straight up and 6-2-1 against the spread record in its last nine games, many are wondering if the Bills can win a close game after their 21-19 loss to Miami last week.The Bills have now lost six games in a row that were decided by seven points or less, while their last twenty victories have come by ten points or more.
Despite the Buffalo Bills were missing several starters on both sides of the ball, they outgained Miami 497-212 in total yards — including 400 passing yards from Josh Allen — but couldn’t overcome a few key mental and physical mistakes.Backup offensive line players were some of the blunders, which might continue this week after starting left tackle Tommy Doyle was lost for the season with a torn ACL.
The defense, too, is severely battered, with Christian Benford being the most recent player to be injured, suffering a fractured hand versus Miami. Jordan Poyer, Ed Oliver and Jordan Phillips missed the game in Miami due to various injuries and their availability for Sunday was unknown at time of publication.
When the Ravens decided not to extend Lamar Jackson’s contract before the season began, maybe they knew what they were doing. Jackson played like he had a fire lit under him last week, throwing 4 touchdown passes and running for another as the Ravens crushed the Patriots by hanging thirty-seven points on them. Baltimore is ahead of every other team in the NFL with ninety-nine points after three weeks and an average yards per play rate of 6.87.
Concerns about a defense that has given up sixty-eight points in its past two games are warranted while the offense is performing well. Without playing their best, Baltimore still managed to win by take advantage of New England’s mistakes.
The Bills have yet to punt in three games, and they should have no trouble moving the ball this week vs. the Ravens’ defensive unit, which has allowed opponents to score a total of 42 points in three games. The Bills’ defense is stout, and the offense has enough firepower to overcome any deficit. As long as Buffalo doesn’t turn the ball over or commit mental errors like it did in Miami, the team has the ability to score quickly.
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Baltimore is at its best when betting on its home turf, going 15-3-1 ATS in its past ninteen as an underdog at M&T Bank Stadium. A short-handed Bills defense could have a tough time defending the Ravens, who can beat opponents with the pass or run.