We’ve prepped the best Iowa State vs. Kansas State betting pick and odds for Saturday, October 16, 2021, in Week 7 of the 2021 college football season when the Big 12 Conference matchup takes place at Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan, Kansas.
Iowa State Cyclones vs Kansas State Wildcats Betting Odds & Line Movement
Last season, the Cyclones won by a score of 45-0 in Ames, covering a 13.5-point spread. Iowa State is a 6.5-point road underdog on BetOnline Sportsbook this time around. The Wildcats are +210 moneyline underdogs, while the over/under is set at 51.5 points.
Notes On The Iowa State Cyclones
The Iowa State Cyclones (3-2; 2-3 ATS) are coming off a bye and hoping to continue their winning ways. In Week 5, they had an easy task against the hapless Kansas Jayhawks and went away as 34.5-point home favorites, 59-7, to bounce back from a 31-29 loss.
The Cyclones dominated the front in their game against Kansas, scoring four touchdowns through the air in the first quarter. Brock Purdy completed 17 of his 22 passes for 245 yards and four touchdowns, while Breece Hall ran it 20 times for 123 yards and two scores.
The Cyclones have scored 33.8 points per game this season, which ranks 38th in the country (38th in rushing, 43rd in passing). Purdy has thrown for eight touchdowns and four interceptions. He’s completed 71 percent of his passes thus far, with eight TDs and four INTs. The Cyclones’ opponents are scoring an average of 29.1 points per game (7th) on 380.5 yards of offense (8th), yielding 15.6 points on 89.6 rushing yards and 144.2 passing yards per game, which is good for seventh in the country.
Notes On The Kansas State Wildcats
The Kansas State Wildcats (3-2 ATS) began the season with three victories over Stanford 24-7, Southern Illinois 31-23, and Nevada 38-17. They are coming off a bye looking to snap their two-game losing streak after suffering a 31-20 loss at Oklahoma State and a 37-31 loss to No. 6
The Sooners opened up the game with a solid performance in which they outscored the Wildcats by a score of 14-7. Senior QB Skylar Thompson made his return following an injury, going 29-of-41 for 320 yards and three touchdowns. Deuce Vaughn had 15 rushes for 51 yards and 10 receptions for 104 yards and a touchdown
The Arizona Wildcats rank No. 1 in the Pac-12 with 28.8 points per game, which ranks them 67th in the country. On 167.8 rushing yards (61st) and 192.6 passing yards (102nd), they are scoring 28.8 points per game (67th). They give up 23 points in a return.
Pick & Prediction: Kansas State Wildcats +7.5
The Cyclones are winless in eight straight games on the road against the Wildcats. Iowa State is a superior team on paper, but Kansas State has played well so far this season, so the Wildcats should be able to keep it close at home.
That is where the game will be won or lost. But while I believe that leaning the hosts has a lot of merit, betting on the totals appears to be a better move, given how effective these two teams have been in defending so far.
The under is 4-1 in Iowa State’s previous five games, and it’s 5-0 in the Wildcats’ past six games. In Week 7, three of the last four meetings between Iowa State and Kansas State went under. Also, the under is 4-1 in Iowa State’s past five games overall, and it’s 5-1.
Both defenses are sturdy. The Cyclones will do everything to take advantage of the Wildcats’ defense, but neither team should have much difficulty moving the ball or rushing effectively.Of course, my best Iowa State vs. Kansas State betting pick is the under on the totals.