The Ole Miss Rebels (9-2 SU, 6-4-1 ATS) and Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-4 SU, 7-4 ATS) have gone UNDER the total in seven of the last eight Egg Bowls, and another low-scoring battle is likely when the state rivals face off Thursday night. In six straight games, the Rebels have failed to cover the spread.
Ole Miss Rebels vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Odds & Line Movement
The Egg Bowl will have two ranked teams for the first time since 2015. People are betting on Mississippi State to be the winner. They are favored by 1 point, and the total is 60.5 points at gambling sites accept players from Mississippi state.
Notes On The Ole Miss Rebels
Ole Miss has a lot of yards this year, but they also have a low number of defenders. Normally that would mean that people would score more points, but the Rebels have gone UNDER the total in six straight games. Four of those were with less than 48 points.
Against Vanderbilt last Saturday, Ole Miss scored just 31 points despite a 12-point first-quarter deficit, which appears to have been overlooked in favor of the Egg Bowl.
The Rebels should be motivated to improve their performance against their state rivals, especially junior quarterback Matt Corral, who declared his intention to enter the NFL draft prior to last week’s game. This will be the final regular-season game for Corral in an Ole Miss uniform.
Notes On The Mississippi State Bulldogs
For another year, though, Rogers isn’t eligible to enter the NFL draft, but scouts should already be well-acquainted with him as a sophomore quarterback. Last Monday, Kyle Rogers shattered Dak Prescott’s school single-season records for passing yards and touchdowns, throwing his 34th TD pass of the season and reaching 4,000 yards.
Some of Rogers’ stunning results could be attributed to Leach’s Air Raid technique, but the pivot has also done an excellent job with the ball. All season, Rogers has only thrown eight interceptions, and five of them came in one game against Alabama.
The Bulldogs are riding high entering the Egg Bowl, having won four of their last five games SU and ATS. They’ve also gone OVER the total in each of their past four games, with an average of 62.3 points scored in those games.
Can The Ole Miss Rebels Cover The Pointspread?
Don’t overthink it. Last week’s performance by the Ole Miss against Texas A&M in a classic letdown spot followed immediately by this game vs Mississippi State isn’t anything to get too worked up about. Corral and the Rebels are capable of much more, and he’ll have plenty of time to study a Bulldogs defense that has all season.
Will The Mississippi State Cover The Spread?
The Bulldogs have been hotter on offense lately, scoring 98 points in the last two weeks. On the other hand, the Rebels are 1-2 SU this year away and have lost 10 of their last 13 games outside of Mississippi.